Ilinden Velmej vs Metalurg Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilinden Velmej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
ILI
4 - 1
RAB
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VAN
3 - 1
ILI
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ILI
1 - 0
JUG
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 0
ILI
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ILI
3 - 3
HTR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metalurg Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
VAR
19%
22%
60%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MET
1 - 1
FKS
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CEM
1 - 0
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MET
1 - 3
MAD
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TET
2 - 2
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |