Gneist vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
81.9%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ILG
1 - 1
FAN
8%
12%
81%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
OTF
2 - 3
ILG
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FAN
3 - 2
ILG
75%
14%
10%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ILG
0 - 4
LYS
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
7 - 0
ILG
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
LYS
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LYS
0 - 0
SSK
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LYS
1 - 0
HOD
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LYS
2 - 2
VAR
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LYS
1 - 2
SAN
44%
22%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |