IJsselmeervogels vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
8º
2º
42
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 52 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RIJ
3 - 0
IJS
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 1
IJS
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IJS
2 - 2
EEM
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
IJS
0 - 2
SPA
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DVS
1 - 2
IJS
41%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
URK
1 - 3
EEM
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DVS
0 - 1
URK
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
URK
0 - 6
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 1
URK
59%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
URK
1 - 3
KAM
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |