Iguatu vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
IGU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TIR
0 - 2
IGU
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 1
FLO
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 0
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
GLO
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 3
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |