Iguatu vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
IGU
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
4 - 0
UNI
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
11%
18%
71%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAU
52%
21%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 1
CRA
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 0
ICA
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
CAU
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
PAC
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |