Igrejinha vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igrejinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
IGR
0 - 0
AIM
18%
21%
62%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
IGR
3 - 2
ECS
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
IGR
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
4 - 0
IGR
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 82 | 56 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
IGR
0 - 2
SCI
7%
17%
76%
|
26 | 82 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
AIM
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SAP
0 - 6
NOV
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ECS
1 - 1
NOV
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
NOV
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |