Igaci vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
IGA
1 - 4
COR
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CSA
1 - 0
IGA
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
IGA
2 - 1
COR
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
IPA
1 - 0
IGA
62%
19%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CSE
0 - 2
IGA
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
3 - 1
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
COR
3 - 1
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CRB
0 - 3
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CSE
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 1
COR
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |