Swedish Allsvenskan Round 1

IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius analysis

IFK Varnamo IK Sirius
76 ELO 81
-8.1% Tilt -3.9%
1235º General ELO ranking 585º
15º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
28.8%
IFK Varnamo
26.3%
Draw
44.9%
IK Sirius

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
IFK Varnamo
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.9%
Win probability
IK Sirius
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
IFK Varnamo
-16%
-11%
IK Sirius

Points and table prediction

IFK Varnamo
Their league position
IK Sirius
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
16º
16º
20
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mjällby AIF
47
64
76%
Hammarby IF
42
57
49%
IF Elfsborg
36
53
19%
Malmö FF
36
51
26%
IFK Göteborg
34
49
19%
AIK Solna
34
48
24%
GAIS
35
47
20.5%
Djurgårdens IF
28
43
25%
Häcken
10º
23
40
23.5%
IFK Norrköping
11º
22
39
10º
23.5%
IK Sirius
12º
20
37
11º
23.5%
Brommapojkarna
23
37
12º
22%
Osters IF
13º
18
29
13º
28%
Degerfors IF
15º
15
27
14º
19.5%
Halmstads
14º
18
26
15º
28%
IFK Varnamo
16º
9
18
16º
79%
Expected probabilities
IFK Varnamo
IK Sirius
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
1.5% 96.5%
Relegation play-offs
6.5% 3.5%
Relegation
92% 0%

ELO progression

IFK Varnamo
IK Sirius
IFK Göteborg
Degerfors IF
Hammarby IF
Häcken
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
IFK
IFK Varnamo
3 - 1
Helsingborgs IF
HEL
59%
22%
19%
76 65 11 0
15 Mar. 2025
LAN
Landskrona BoIS
1 - 1
IFK Varnamo
IFK
30%
24%
46%
76 66 10 0
08 Mar. 2025
IFK
IFK Varnamo
1 - 0
Falkenbergs
FAL
54%
23%
23%
76 67 9 0
28 Feb. 2025
AIK
AIK Solna
2 - 0
IFK Varnamo
IFK
46%
25%
29%
76 81 5 0
22 Feb. 2025
IFK
IFK Varnamo
2 - 3
Degerfors IF
DEG
44%
25%
31%
77 75 2 -1

Matches

IK Sirius
IK Sirius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
SIR
IK Sirius
3 - 1
SJK
SEI
58%
21%
21%
80 76 4 0
18 Mar. 2025
GEF
Gefle
0 - 1
IK Sirius
SIR
12%
17%
71%
80 58 22 0
14 Mar. 2025
HIF
Hammarby IF
4 - 0
IK Sirius
SIR
47%
23%
30%
80 80 0 0
08 Mar. 2025
AIK
AIK Solna
4 - 2
IK Sirius
SIR
40%
26%
35%
80 81 1 0
01 Mar. 2025
HÄC
Häcken
0 - 2
IK Sirius
SIR
53%
21%
26%
80 81 1 0