IFK Varnamo vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
16º
16º
31
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 51 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 29 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 23 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
1 - 0
IFK
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 0
ELF
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
6 - 1
B93
45%
24%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
IFK
75%
15%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MJÄ
2 - 0
IFK
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DJU
5 - 1
DEG
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
DJU
1 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HAL
1 - 0
DJU
24%
27%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
BRO
0 - 1
DJU
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
DJU
1 - 1
HÄC
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |