IFK Malmö vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Malmö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
KRI
3 - 3
MAL
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 4
HAS
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 0
TRE
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FBK
2 - 0
MAL
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
BER
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 1
OST
23%
20%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
SIM
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
SIM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 0
IFK
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 5
OLY
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -2 |