Karlshamn vs Österlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
10º
18
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 47 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 1
IFK
69%
16%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 1
FBK
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
VAX
2 - 0
IFK
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 1
IFK
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
RAP
37%
22%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
KRI
1 - 1
OST
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OST
0 - 1
IFK
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OST
2 - 3
SOG
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 0
OST
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
HAS
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |