Skarp vs Mo IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
IFS
77%
13%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
IFS
0 - 2
STE
48%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MJO
0 - 1
IFS
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
IFS
2 - 0
SAL
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
IFS
0 - 3
LOF
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
STE
0 - 1
MOI
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MOI
4 - 0
SAL
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
STR
3 - 1
MOI
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOI
3 - 0
LOF
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MOI
5 - 1
SFC
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |