Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
34.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
14º
13º
26
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 64 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 56 |
2º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
IFL
3 - 2
ODD
6%
13%
81%
|
32 | 73 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
STA
3 - 2
IFL
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
IFL
3 - 0
IFR
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +4 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
IFL
0 - 2
POR
11%
16%
74%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
ASK
15%
19%
65%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
5 - 1
DRO
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ODD
1 - 2
SAR
57%
19%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 3
SAR
47%
21%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
8 - 1
MJO
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 1
SAR
17%
17%
66%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |