Ideal vs Águia CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 0
IDE
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
IDE
1 - 1
SCG
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 2
IDE
29%
24%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IDE
0 - 0
BOA
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 1
IDE
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Águia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 2
FAY
33%
24%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 0
AGU
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 2
SCG
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PRA
1 - 1
AGU
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |