Segunda Estonia Sub 19 Normal Season Round 6

Ida-Virumaa U19 vs Trans Narva U19 analysis

Ida-Virumaa U19 Trans Narva U19
45 ELO 45
13.7% Tilt 3.3%
48503º General ELO ranking 4777º
399º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Ida-Virumaa U19
21%
Draw
23.2%
Trans Narva U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
Ida-Virumaa U19
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.2%
Win probability
Trans Narva U19
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ida-Virumaa U19
+8%
+18%
Trans Narva U19

Points and table prediction

Ida-Virumaa U19
Their league position
Trans Narva U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
24
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trans Narva U19
24
30
85%
Ida-Virumaa U19
21
27
85%
Paide U19
16
19
89%
Laanemaa U19
14
17
66%
Nomme Kalju U19
16
16
77%
JK Vaprus U19
14
14
94.5%
FC Helios Voru U19
12
12
94.5%
Kohtla-Järve Storm U19
11
11
100%
Legion U19
10
10
100%
Helios Tartu U19
10º
3
3
10º
84%
FC Flora U19
11º
0
1
11º
84%
Expected probabilities
Ida-Virumaa U19
Trans Narva U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Ida-Virumaa U19
Trans Narva U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ida-Virumaa U19
Ida-Virumaa U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2023
IDV
Ida-Virumaa U19
3 - 0
Laanemaa U19
LJK
77%
14%
9%
46 31 15 0
26 Apr. 2023
NKA
Nomme Kalju U19
1 - 5
Ida-Virumaa U19
IDV
11%
16%
73%
46 26 20 0
18 Apr. 2023
IDV
Ida-Virumaa U19
8 - 0
Kohtla-Järve Storm U19
KJS
94%
5%
1%
46 11 35 0
13 Sep. 2022
IDV
Ida-Virumaa U19
6 - 1
FC Nomme U19
FCN
77%
14%
8%
45 33 12 +1
06 Sep. 2022
IDV
Ida-Virumaa U19
0 - 0
Tallinna Kalev U19
KAL
87%
8%
4%
46 22 24 -1

Matches

Trans Narva U19
Trans Narva U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2023
JKN
Trans Narva U19
7 - 0
Helios Tartu U19
HET
91%
6%
2%
43 14 29 0
30 Apr. 2023
LEG
Legion U19
0 - 3
Trans Narva U19
JKN
33%
20%
47%
42 35 7 +1
25 Apr. 2023
JKN
Trans Narva U19
3 - 0
FC Helios Voru U19
FHT
90%
7%
3%
42 20 22 0
18 Apr. 2023
PJK
JK Vaprus U19
0 - 7
Trans Narva U19
JKN
53%
23%
25%
40 44 4 +2
11 Apr. 2023
JKN
Trans Narva U19
1 - 0
Paide U19
PAI
54%
20%
26%
39 39 0 +1