Ichiban Espada vs Guam Shipyard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ichiban Espada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
QUA
9 - 0
ICH
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ICH
1 - 5
CAR
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 16
ICH
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
PAI
3 - 4
ICH
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
QUA
2 - 0
ICH
71%
15%
14%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guam Shipyard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAI
52%
19%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 0
GUA
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAR
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |