Icasa vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ICA
1 - 0
SPC
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 0
ICA
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ICA
1 - 0
GLO
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ICA
0 - 0
TOM
14%
24%
62%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRA
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 3
SOU
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
SOU
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 3
RFC
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAM
38%
28%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |