Icasa vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
ICA
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 2
ICA
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
ICA
1 - 6
CRI
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
ICA
55%
22%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
SER
0 - 1
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 4
YPI
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SAL
0 - 3
SPO
15%
24%
62%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | -1 |