Icasa vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
ICA
66%
19%
14%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ICA
3 - 4
FER
34%
25%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
ICA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ICA
4 - 0
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 4
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BOV
1 - 2
QUI
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
QUI
56%
21%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 4
HOR
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |