Icasa vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
0 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ICA
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 1
ICA
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 3
ASA
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 2
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
ITA
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HOR
5 - 2
ITA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |