Icasa vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ICA
2 - 0
TIR
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
2 - 5
AFO
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 0
FLO
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |