Icasa vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 3
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
ICA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ICA
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CEA
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
HOR
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |