Icasa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
ICA
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ICA
0 - 3
VIL
35%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ICA
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 0
ARN
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 2
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
ASA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
BOT
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |