ÍBV vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
11º
11º
12
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 41 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 36 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 34 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 31 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 26 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 26 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 26 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 24 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 24 |
12º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81.5% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
IBV
3 - 0
VIK
19%
21%
60%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AFT
0 - 0
IBV
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
VIK
2 - 0
IBV
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SEL
1 - 1
IBV
28%
21%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
KRR
6 - 3
IBV
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 0
FHH
48%
22%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FRA
4 - 2
BRE
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FRA
0 - 1
IAA
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FRA
0 - 1
RAN
45%
22%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LSK
4 - 0
FRA
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |