Ibarra vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
ATL
0 - 4
UDI
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
UDI
2 - 1
CDT
23%
27%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
RSI
1 - 0
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
UDI
3 - 0
VTZ
28%
28%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
REA
3 - 0
UDI
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
VEC
3 - 0
CDZ
83%
13%
4%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
LPA
5 - 0
VEC
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
VEC
6 - 0
SDT
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
UDO
2 - 0
VEC
56%
23%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
VEC
2 - 1
COR
29%
29%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |