Ibarra vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
ARG
0 - 1
UDI
47%
26%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
UDI
2 - 3
CAR
26%
28%
46%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
UDS
2 - 0
UDI
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
UDI
2 - 1
EST
36%
29%
36%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
TEL
0 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
REA
4 - 2
UDI
84%
12%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
UDO
1 - 0
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
REA
1 - 1
COR
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
CDT
0 - 2
REA
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
REA
0 - 0
VEC
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |