Ibarra vs CD Buzanada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 0
UDI
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CSU
3 - 1
UDI
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 0
CDT
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
UDI
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
UDI
2 - 1
VSB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Buzanada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CDB
3 - 0
CSU
20%
23%
58%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 0
CDB
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 6
TAM
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
VSB
1 - 0
CDB
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CDB
1 - 0
UPR
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |