Ibarra vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 2
UPR
20%
25%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
UDG
3 - 0
UDI
57%
24%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 0
VSB
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ARU
3 - 2
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UPR
1 - 0
UDI
64%
22%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ARU
0 - 0
VER
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
ARU
4 - 0
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARU
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 3
ARU
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ARU
3 - 2
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |