Ibar Rozaje vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibar Rozaje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
TBP
1 - 3
IBA
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 3
IBA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
IBA
1 - 0
BER
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
FKA
0 - 1
IBA
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
IBA
0 - 2
JED
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
OUL
2 - 2
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
OUL
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
OUL
0 - 2
FKA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
JED
3 - 0
OUL
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
OUL
1 - 1
CRV
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |