Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
4 - 2
IBA
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
7%
13%
81%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 1
EMM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LSS
2 - 2
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TAV
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
TAV
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
GOL
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
0 - 2
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HER
4 - 2
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |