Ibach vs Baar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
IBA
32%
23%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 2
RUS
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 2
IBA
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
GUN
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BUO
5 - 0
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 1
ESC
27%
22%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EMM
0 - 1
FCB
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |