Ibach vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 2
IBA
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
VED
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BUO
2 - 2
IBA
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
RUS
1 - 1
IBA
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
HER
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 2
EMM
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
EMM
0 - 2
LSS
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 4
EMM
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 4
EMM
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |