Ibach vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUZ
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AAR
5 - 0
IBA
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IBA
0 - 1
LUG
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
IBA
5 - 0
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAR
1 - 1
IBA
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BUO
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 1
AAR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BUO
1 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 4
BUO
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BUO
1 - 0
SAR
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |