Ibach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
IBA
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 1
IBA
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 2
HER
21%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
0 - 3
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
ASC
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HOC
0 - 1
ASC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |