Ibach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VED
0 - 0
IBA
16%
18%
66%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 0
ESC
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ZOF
2 - 1
IBA
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 2
GOL
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 6
IBA
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 2
ASC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
TAV
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |