Ibach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
IBA
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 1
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 0
IBA
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 1
ZOF
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 3
HOC
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
ASC
19%
21%
59%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 1
GUN
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ASC
6 - 2
BUO
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |