ÍA Akranes vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
12º
12º
25
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 39 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 30 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 29 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 24 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 62% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍA Akranes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
VES
0 - 2
IAA
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
IAA
0 - 3
STJ
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
AFT
4 - 1
IAA
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
IAA
0 - 3
IBV
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 4
IAA
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FRA
2 - 0
IBV
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 1
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AFT
0 - 1
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
FRA
2 - 0
FHH
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 1
FRA
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |