Highland League . Jor. 21

Huntly vs Keith analysis

Huntly Keith
25 ELO 20
0.8% Tilt 4.5%
7094º General ELO ranking 10853º
66º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Huntly
20.3%
Draw
22.4%
Keith

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
Huntly
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.5%
Win probability
Keith
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Huntly
-18%
+66%
Keith

Points and table prediction

Huntly
Their league position
Keith
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
17º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Huntly
Keith
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Huntly
Keith
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Huntly
Huntly
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
HUN
Huntly
2 - 1
Lossiemouth
LOS
54%
21%
25%
24 21 3 0
04 Feb. 2023
FRA
Fraserburgh
3 - 0
Huntly
HUN
91%
7%
2%
24 51 27 0
28 Jan. 2023
HUN
Huntly
1 - 1
Buckie Thistle
BUC
5%
12%
83%
24 50 26 0
21 Jan. 2023
DEV
Deveronvale
1 - 3
Huntly
HUN
27%
22%
51%
23 17 6 +1
14 Jan. 2023
FOR
Formartine United
2 - 0
Huntly
HUN
86%
10%
5%
24 42 18 -1

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2023
FRA
Fraserburgh
4 - 0
Keith
KEI
92%
6%
2%
21 52 31 0
11 Feb. 2023
BUC
Buckie Thistle
3 - 0
Keith
KEI
91%
7%
2%
21 51 30 0
04 Feb. 2023
KEI
Keith
1 - 1
Deveronvale
DEV
71%
16%
14%
21 16 5 0
28 Jan. 2023
FOR
Formartine United
6 - 0
Keith
KEI
86%
9%
5%
22 42 20 -1
07 Jan. 2023
BRO
Brora Rangers
6 - 1
Keith
KEI
90%
8%
3%
22 49 27 0
X