Hungerford Town vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HUN
1 - 3
HAM
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
HUN
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
WES
0 - 1
HUN
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HUN
3 - 3
GOS
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 0
HUN
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 1
YEL
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 0
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TON
2 - 2
LEI
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 4
LEI
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 4
KIN
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |