Hunan Billows FC vs Haimen Codion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
8º
8º
38
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
HBF
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HBF
1 - 0
SHU
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 0
HBF
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HBF
1 - 1
LAN
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 1
HBF
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GGZ
1 - 1
NHC
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 2
SHA
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 3
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 1
HBF
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |