Humble Lions vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BOY
2 - 0
LIO
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIO
0 - 1
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REN
3 - 2
LIO
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 1
TRI
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
LIO
3 - 1
POR
41%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 0
MON
37%
29%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAV
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 0
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAV
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 0
MON
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |