FA Cup . 1/32
Global 2-3
Hull City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
SHW
3 - 1
HUL
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
HUL
3 - 2
BBU
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HUL
0 - 1
SUN
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
HUL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HUL
3 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
LEE
3 - 0
BIR
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 0
BRI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 3
STO
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PLY
3 - 3
BIR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEI
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |