Premier League Round 5

Hull City vs Arsenal analysis

Hull City Arsenal
79 ELO 90
-8.9% Tilt -12.3%
1159º General ELO ranking 16º
40º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.3%
Hull City
20%
Draw
67.7%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
Hull City
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
67.7%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hull City
-4%
+2%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Hull City
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hull City
Hull City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2016
BUR
Burnley
1 - 1
Hull City
HUL
44%
28%
28%
80 79 1 0
27 Aug. 2016
HUL
Hull City
0 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
17%
24%
59%
80 89 9 0
23 Aug. 2016
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 3
Hull City
HUL
14%
23%
63%
80 57 23 0
20 Aug. 2016
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 2
Hull City
HUL
54%
26%
20%
79 82 3 +1
13 Aug. 2016
HUL
Hull City
2 - 1
Leicester
LEI
21%
25%
54%
79 87 8 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2016
PSG
PSG
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
46%
23%
31%
90 90 0 0
10 Sep. 2016
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
63%
22%
15%
90 87 3 0
27 Aug. 2016
WAT
Watford
1 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
15%
21%
64%
90 80 10 0
20 Aug. 2016
LEI
Leicester
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
30%
24%
46%
90 87 3 0
14 Aug. 2016
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 4
Liverpool
LIV
56%
24%
21%
90 87 3 0