PDL USA East Conference Round 2

Hudson Valley vs Manhattan analysis

Hudson Valley Manhattan
37 ELO 38
1.1% Tilt 11%
6975º General ELO ranking 8058º
121º Country ELO ranking 138º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Hudson Valley
20.4%
Draw
26.1%
Manhattan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
Hudson Valley
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.1%
Win probability
Manhattan
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Hudson Valley
Their league position
Manhattan
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
11º
20
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Seacoast United Phantoms
36
39
85%
Western Mass Pioneers
34
37
85%
Salem City FC
29
32
75.5%
Ocean City Nor'easters
27
30
48%
Vermont Green
26
29
16.5%
Long Island Rough Riders
29
29
23%
Virginia Beach United
26
29
0%
Lionsbridge
26
29
1.5%
SC United Bantams
25
28
28.5%
FC Motown II
10º
24
27
10º
24%
Hudson Valley
12º
23
26
11º
42%
Boston Bolts
13º
21
24
12º
45%
Reading United
15º
20
23
13º
0%
Charlottesville Blues
11º
23
23
14º
34%
Manhattan
17º
20
23
15º
6.5%
North Carolina II
14º
21
21
16º
64%
Northern Virginia
19º
17
20
17º
17%
West Chester United Predato
16º
20
20
18º
32%
Charlotte Eagles
18º
19
19
19º
47%
Connecticut
25º
15
18
20º
25.5%
Westchester Flames
20º
16
17
21º
15%
Cedar Stars Rush
21º
16
17
22º
10.5%
West Virginia United
22º
16
16
23º
22.5%
Wake
23º
16
16
24º
32.5%
RC New Jersey
24º
16
16
25º
3.5%
Staten Island Athletic
26º
14
14
26º
78%
Albany Rush
27º
12
12
27º
73.5%
Tobacco Road
28º
11
11
28º
12.5%
Pathfinder
29º
11
11
29º
20.5%
Philadelphia Lone Star
30º
10
10
30º
66.5%
Christos
31º
9
9
31º
21.5%
Charlotte Independence II
32º
9
9
32º
2.5%
Morris Elite
33º
8
8
33º
3.5%
Boston City
34º
8
8
34º
22.5%
Virginia Marauders
35º
6
6
35º
77%
Lehigh Valley Utd. Sonic
36º
5
5
36º
65.5%
Ironbound
37º
5
5
37º
67%
Patuxent
38º
4
4
38º
20.5%
New Jersey Copa
40º
1
4
39º
32.5%
Black Rock
39º
2
2
40º
84%
Expected probabilities
Hudson Valley
Manhattan
Next round
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Hudson Valley
Manhattan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hudson Valley
Hudson Valley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2024
FCM
FC Motown II
4 - 0
Hudson Valley
HVH
30%
20%
50%
40 33 7 0
13 Jun. 2024
HVH
Hudson Valley
1 - 1
Westchester Flames
WES
78%
13%
9%
40 24 16 0
10 Jun. 2024
LON
Long Island Rough Riders
1 - 3
Hudson Valley
HVH
63%
20%
17%
39 50 11 +1
02 Jun. 2024
HVH
Hudson Valley
3 - 0
New Jersey Copa
NJC
67%
17%
17%
38 30 8 +1
30 May. 2024
CSR
Cedar Stars Rush
2 - 3
Hudson Valley
HVH
32%
21%
48%
37 31 6 +1

Matches

Manhattan
Manhattan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2024
LON
Long Island Rough Riders
2 - 0
Manhattan
MSC
67%
19%
15%
37 50 13 0
09 Jun. 2024
MSC
Manhattan
7 - 3
Cedar Stars Rush
CSR
63%
19%
18%
37 30 7 0
06 Jun. 2024
MOE
Morris Elite
1 - 3
Manhattan
MSC
10%
16%
74%
36 14 22 +1
03 Jun. 2024
MSC
Manhattan
3 - 0
Staten Island Athletic
SIA
87%
9%
4%
36 11 25 0
23 May. 2024
MSC
Manhattan
3 - 2
Ironbound
IRB
88%
9%
4%
36 7 29 0