League One round 30

Xinjiang Tianshan vs Guizhou Zhicheng analysis

Xinjiang Tianshan Guizhou Zhicheng
55 ELO 50
5.1% Tilt -5.7%
19948º General ELO ranking 19949º
102º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Xinjiang Tianshan
22.5%
Draw
20.8%
Guizhou Zhicheng

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
Xinjiang Tianshan
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
Guizhou Zhicheng
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Xinjiang Tianshan
Guizhou Zhicheng
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Xinjiang Tianshan
Xinjiang Tianshan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2015
TIA
Tianjin Tianhai
1 - 1
Xinjiang Tianshan
HUB
47%
26%
27%
54 57 3 0
17 Oct. 2015
HUB
Xinjiang Tianshan
0 - 2
Hebei FC
HEB
30%
26%
44%
55 63 8 -1
26 Sep. 2015
NMZ
Nei Mongol Zhongyou
0 - 0
Xinjiang Tianshan
HUB
54%
24%
23%
55 58 3 0
19 Sep. 2015
HUB
Xinjiang Tianshan
3 - 0
Jiangxi Lushan
JIA
58%
22%
20%
54 50 4 +1
12 Sep. 2015
HUB
Xinjiang Tianshan
2 - 2
Qingdao FC
QIN
55%
23%
22%
54 51 3 0

Matches

Guizhou Zhicheng
Guizhou Zhicheng
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2015
GUI
Guizhou Zhicheng
0 - 2
Hebei FC
HEB
22%
26%
52%
51 63 12 0
18 Oct. 2015
JIA
Jiangxi Lushan
4 - 2
Guizhou Zhicheng
GUI
44%
25%
31%
52 50 2 -1
27 Sep. 2015
GUI
Guizhou Zhicheng
3 - 1
Qingdao Hainiu
QIN
33%
26%
41%
51 60 9 +1
23 Sep. 2015
BEI
Beijing BSU
4 - 0
Guizhou Zhicheng
GUI
64%
23%
13%
51 64 13 0
19 Sep. 2015
1 - 2
Guizhou Zhicheng
GUI
49%
25%
26%
50 52 2 +1