Huachipato vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
HUA
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 0
COB
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 1
OHI
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NUB
2 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 0
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ACS
4 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |