Huachipato vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 0
HUA
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 2
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 4
HUA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 3
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
DLS
2 - 0
CUR
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
DLS
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DLS
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DLS
2 - 0
CSD
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
IQU
2 - 0
DLS
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |