HT 16 Hamburg vs FK Nikola Tesla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
16º
14º
6
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
15 | 82 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 72 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 71 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 61 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 61 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 60 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 58 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 53 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 52 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 37 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 31 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 29 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 19 |
17º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 19 |
18º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HT 16 Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HTH
4 - 2
BRA
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HTH
4 - 2
CHB
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HTH
1 - 1
ASV
74%
14%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 0
HTH
60%
19%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HTH
3 - 2
HAM
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Nikola Tesla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
4 - 1
FNT
79%
12%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SCN
4 - 2
FNT
47%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FNT
7 - 3
SCP
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TBP
3 - 2
FNT
39%
21%
41%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FNT
3 - 1
ATN
64%
17%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |