HSC 21 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UNA
5 - 2
HSC
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HSC
1 - 2
OSS
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 1
HSC
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
HSC
3 - 2
WES
32%
22%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
HSC
2 - 1
EVV
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
USV
2 - 2
OJC
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BLA
5 - 3
USV
27%
23%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USV
2 - 4
DON
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
QUI
4 - 0
USV
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OSS
0 - 2
USV
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |