HSC 21 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WES
1 - 0
HSC
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 3
HSC
7%
13%
80%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HSC
1 - 2
JVC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
HSC
28%
22%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
HSC
1 - 1
UNA
44%
24%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
USV
1 - 2
DED
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
VVS
2 - 0
USV
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WES
4 - 0
USV
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
USV
3 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 0
USV
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |